Oct 29, 2007

Indo-US nuclear deal and the Issue of Uninterrupted Fuel Supplies



Indo-US nuclear deal (from Rusin speaks)
On the issue of continued fuel supply in the event of termination of the agreement, the critics of the nuclear deal are jumping the gun when they say that the US would prevent other Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) countries from continuing with their supply of fuel and other supplies to India if the agreement is terminated under US laws. The issue is an important issue that needs to be discussed. However, the ‘Statements of Policy’ or ‘Sense of Congress’ found in the Hyde Act are not the proper reference points for discussion on the issue.

What Indian decision makers need to be concerned about is the nature of exception to be provided by the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) as well as the bilateral civil nuclear agreements that India will sign with other supplier countries like Russia, France, Canada and Australia. Another point which should be taken into account is that currently there is no NSG requirement which stipulates that if one member terminates cooperation other member countries have to follow suit.


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Oct 25, 2007

The “Nuts and Bolts" of North Korean disablement


Kim Jong-un (First post.com)

Disablement is a word that has crept into the language of the Six-Party talks since it was used by Scott McClellan, the former White House press secretary. In the absence of a more acceptable term, disablement became something of a convenience. There is a general agreement that the current phase is a difficult one. As Christopher Hill put it, the Six-Party talks have reached a point where “they have not been before, beyond just shutting down the facilities.” In such situations of advanced and complex diplomatic negotiations, terminologies become quite important. This is a fact which negotiators to the Six-Party talks have come to realise of late. Christopher Hill pointed this out when he talked about the need to come up with common definitions, “so that we are satisfied when they say they are disabling, we know what they're doing and we agree that it's disablement.”

However, gloating over terminologies is not going to get us anywhere on dismantling North Korean facilities. The task before the international community is to effectively dismantle the North Korean facilities in a manner which allows verification and forensic activities. In August 2007 some ideas were also throw up at the meeting of the denuclearisation group at Shengyang. This was followed up by a five-day inspection of the Yongbyon facility by a team of American, Chinese and Russian experts conducted a five-day inspection in September 2007. However, the five-day inspections and other such future visits will enable experts to adapt the ideas thrown up to suit the actual equipment present in North Korean facilities.

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